CoinEx News: Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warned that President Donald Trump may have about one week to reach a peace agreement with Iran before the war’s economic impact makes a U.S. recession more likely. Zandi flagged gasoline above $5 per gallon and crude above $125 as key recession-risk thresholds.

For crypto markets, the signal is the oil-to-inflation-to-rates channel: a prolonged Iran shock could keep energy costs elevated, pressure consumer spending, and reduce risk appetite across BTC, ETH, equities, and ETF flows. A fast de-escalation would weaken the risk-off trade, while another failed negotiation window would make macro hedging and liquidity conditions the key focus for crypto positioning.