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Glassnode: Bitcoin Still in 'Surrender Phase,' Current Rally Should Be Viewed as a Relief Rally Amidst Bottoming Process
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BlockBeats News, August 20th, Glassnode released a report at 12:00 AM today pointing out that the on-chain structure of Bitcoin is still in a "surrender phase," with the short-term holder's cost basis having dropped to around $68,500, below the true market value of around $75,800. At the same time, the current round's relative unrealized loss is about 25%, significantly lower than the previous cycle's over 60% during the surrender phase, indicating that the current market's loss is relatively shallow but more evenly distributed, possibly requiring a longer time to clear out.

Glassnode also stated that the 90-day average of the realized profit-loss ratio is 0.75, whereas historically, this metric usually drops below 0.5 before seller exhaustion, indicating that true seller exhaustion has not yet occurred. Glassnode further pointed out that before this metric crosses back above 2, any price rebound should be seen more as a local rebound rather than a fundamental shift in the market trend.

Furthermore, the 30-day directional funding rate in the perpetual futures market briefly went deeply negative during the recent downturn but has now significantly rebounded and re-entered positive territory. This means that leveraged traders are once again willing to pay a premium for long exposure, showing an improvement in speculative risk appetite. However, in contrast to the improvement in the perpetual futures market, the Coinbase Premium Index remains negative. This indicates that a meaningful return of demand in the U.S. spot market has not yet materialized.

Fuente:BlockBeats

Descargo de responsabilidad: El contenido actual proviene de perspectivas de terceros o es traducido directamente por IA a partir de perspectivas de terceros. CoinEx no garantiza la autenticidad, exactitud u originalidad del contenido, y no constituye ningún consejo de inversión. Los precios de las criptomonedas son altamente volátiles, por lo que debe ser consciente de los riesgos potenciales.

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