According to PolyBeats, in the prediction market Polymarket, there is a dispute in the market regarding the question "Will Strategy sell BTC before May 31st?" Earlier today, the market was leaning towards "no" settlement. However, after Strategy disclosed selling 32 BTC last week, the market quickly flipped, with the probability of "yes" briefly spiking to 85% before dropping back to 51%. Both sides are holding their ground, and the trading volume for this sub-market has exceeded $20 million.

The market rule dictates that if Strategy sells any BTC before the specified time, the market will resolve to "yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "no." The primary sources of information for this market will be data from MSTR and on-chain data, with consensus opinions from trusted reports also considered.

The "yes" side believes the outcome is clear, while the "no" side often argues that the selling announcement came after May 31st and should not be considered.

Polymarket has now added additional clarification for this market: We have noted the dispute in this market. If a clarification statement is needed, it will be released on June 1st at 1:00 PM Eastern Time (1:00 AM Beijing Time). If no statement has been released by then, it indicates that the Polymarket team will not provide any further clarifications. The order book will be settled at 1:00 PM Eastern Time regardless of any clarification statements.