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Opinion: Draft Details of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding Still Remain Highly Uncertain
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BlockBeats News, June 15th, according to CNBC, the United States and Iran have reached a "Memorandum of Understanding" to end the nearly four-month conflict. Both parties have agreed to suspend hostile actions and promote subsequent peace talks. The market reacted quickly to this news, with the stock market rising and oil prices and US Treasury yields falling simultaneously.

Currently, the agreement has not been formally signed, and the text has not been made public. The Iranian side stated that the draft has been finalized, and a signing ceremony is planned for Friday in Geneva. They declared that "war has permanently and immediately ended on all fronts." President Trump of the United States stated that he would lift the naval blockade on Iran and promote the de-escalation of related military deployments.

The core arrangements of the agreement include: a 60-day extension of the ceasefire to facilitate framework negotiations on the Iranian nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional security issues. As a key point of contention, Iran reportedly demanded the release of billions of dollars in frozen assets by the US as a condition to initiate nuclear talks, a demand which the US did not accept.

In terms of energy and shipping, Trump announced plans to facilitate the "free opening" of the Strait of Hormuz and lift US military blockade measures, emphasizing "allowing oil to flow freely." Iranian media stated that the reopening of the strait would still need to follow Iranian arrangements. Countries such as Qatar welcomed the agreement, emphasizing support for freedom of navigation.

It is worth noting that Israel did not take part in the agreement and continues to maintain a presence in regional military actions. The extent of Israel's acceptance of the agreement remains unclear and is a significant source of uncertainty in the subsequent situation.

Analysts point out that the agreement is more of a "tactical cooldown" rather than a final peaceful resolution. Core differences, especially regarding the Iranian nuclear issue and the sanction mechanism, remain unresolved, leaving open the possibility of a risk of further escalation in the coming months.

Source: BlockBeats

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