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Bitcoin Volatility Hits Lowest Level Since Cycle Low, Traders Shift to AI Stocks and Prediction Markets
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BlockBeats News, August 19th. Bitcoin's recent volatility has dropped to a multi-year low, with a 30-day realized volatility of about 42%, compared to around 18% for the S&P 500 Index. The volatility gap between the two has reached its smallest in history. The market is in a deadlock between buyers and sellers, with corporations and mining companies selling to cap the upside, while leveraged liquidation and continued accumulation by long-term holders limit the downside.

As Bitcoin's volatility decreases, some short-term traders are starting to shift their risk appetite towards assets such as AI stocks, tokenized stocks, stock perpetual contracts, and prediction markets. According to NYDIG research, short-term traders are more inclined to chase volatility, narrative momentum, and potential returns. "Traders seeking 5x or 10x returns" can now choose between Bitcoin, Nvidia, gold, stock perpetual contracts, 0DTE options, and sports event contracts.

Data shows that the monthly trading volume of traditional asset perpetual contracts on cryptocurrency exchanges has increased from $52 billion in January to $268 billion in June, a growth of over 5 times in six months. Meanwhile, retail traders in South Korea have notably shifted from cryptocurrencies to AI-related stocks, with trading volumes on major Korean cryptocurrency exchanges seeing a year-on-year decline of about 80%.

CoinDesk points out that the Bitcoin market currently resembles more of a "dormant" state, with decreased trading participation, shrinking market depth, and regulatory uncertainty collectively suppressing volatility. If there is substantial progress in U.S. crypto regulation, a shift in the macro environment, or the emergence of new market narratives, the current low-volatility pattern may be disrupted, potentially leading to intensified price swings due to thinner liquidity or further amplified market movements.

출처:BlockBeats

면책 조항: 현재 콘텐츠는 제3자 관점에서 제공되거나 제3자 관점에서 AI가 직접 번역한 것입니다. CoinEx는 콘텐츠의 진위성, 정확성, 독창성을 보장하지 않으며 CoinEx의 투자 조언으로 간주하지 않습니다. 암호화폐 가격은 변동성이 크므로 잠재적인 위험에 유의하시기 바랍니다.

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