BlockBeats News, July 21st. The current World Cup has come to an end. According to PolyBeats statistics, the World Cup prediction market has witnessed both Version Kings and Unlucky Ducks, with Cape Verde being the biggest variable.

The three matches with the highest trading volume were the final and two semi-finals, with a total volume of approximately $51.986 million. The final between Argentina and Spain saw a trading volume of up to $212.1 million. Meanwhile, the performance of accounts during the event showed extreme differentiation—there were long-term players who covered the entire tournament and netted over tens of millions of dollars, as well as heavy accounts that concentrated their profits in a single match. Let's take a look at the Version Kings and Unlucky Ducks.

Version Kings

A $40 Position Turned into a 930x Total Return. In the Argentina vs. Cape Verde exact score market, user aHjCz bought "Argentina 1–1 Cape Verde?" at No. The average cost was only 0.001, with a buying cost of around $40.35, ultimately profiting $37,506. Their net profit was about 929.6 times the cost, resulting in a total return of approximately 930.6 times the initial investment.

Full Coverage Player. User swisstony covered all 104 matches of this tournament, captured 8,815 candidate positions, and netted $10.32 million, making them the highest net earner among identifiable accounts. According to account history, swisstony has been participating in sports predictions since 2025, with a total of about 145,000 historical trades, resembling a professional account that has been long-term and broadly covering events.

One-Shot Legend. On the other hand, fishalive is a typical "one-shot legend." They only participated in one match between Spain and Cape Verde but netted $9.06 through positions in two consistent directions: buying No in "Will Spain win?" at an average price of 9.02, profiting $4.13 million, and buying Cape Verde in the "Spain (-2.5) spread" market at an average price of 44.37, earning $4.75 million. They were convinced that Spain would not win.

Unlucky Ducks

Highest Loss Due to Multiple Misjudgments. User coldsway covered 11 matches with 17 captured positions, resulting in a net loss of $1,081, making it the highest losing identifiable account in this sample. It did not entirely fail: the profitable positions totaled around $508, but the losing positions amounted to about $15.89 million. The biggest loss occurred in the Canada vs. Morocco match—this account bought No for Morocco to win at an average price of 46.01, ultimately losing about $4.95 million. This was more of a fifty-fifty misjudgment rather than a clear-cut long-shot upset.

Two Heavy Losses. FlickRaw participated in only two matches but experienced heavy losses in both: bought the Netherlands to win against Japan, resulting in a loss of $3.29 million; bought Belgium to win against Egypt, and incurred another $1.51 million loss. This led to a total net loss of $4.8 million.