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Citi Downplays Meeting Minutes Hawkishness, JPMorgan Chase Focuses on Fed's Internal Inflation Divide

BlockBeats News, August 20th. At the July meeting, three Federal Reserve officials voted against the decision to keep the interest rate unchanged. They believed that the Fed should raise rates because the core inflation rate was still as high as 2.6%, well above the Fed's 2% target. However, the data released in August is undermining their case for a rate hike. The July CPI report showed that excluding the volatile food and energy prices, core prices rose by 2.5% year-on-year, the lowest level since March 2021. At the same time, the July jobs report revealed a loss of 23,000 jobs in the U.S. Citigroup's Chief U.S. Economist, Andrew Hollenhorst, said that this data "will make it difficult for the meeting minutes to significantly alter the market's already lowered expectations of a rate hike."

However, the minutes will provide a clearer picture of the extent of the division between the "hawks" and "doves" within the Fed during the July meeting. The minutes may reveal how officials will define and assess inflation pressures in the future. JPMorgan's Chief U.S. Economist, Michael Feroli, wrote that the minutes "may shed light on how tolerant other FOMC members are of inflation persisting above the target."

Kaynak:BlockBeats

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