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BlockBeats News, July 16th. China's leading domestic storage chip manufacturer, ChangXin Technology, has opened for subscription today, aiming to become the world's third-largest DRAM supplier. Currently, institutions predict a unified online lottery winning rate range of 0.30% to 0.70%, with a neutral mainstream expectation of around 0.45%. This is about 10 to 20 times higher than the typical 0.02% to 0.05% lottery winning rate for regular STAR Market IPOs, ushering in a "sunshine" trading scene.
The core reason for the significant increase in the lottery winning rate is that a large portion of strategic placements has been reallocated to retail investors through online channels, resulting in a record high online issuance volume on the STAR Market. Based on the neutral 0.45% calculation, an individual with a daily average market value of 200,000 RMB in Shanghai stocks can obtain approximately 40 lottery numbers, with a single account lottery winning probability of about 18%. Theoretically, an individual with a daily average market value of 1 million RMB is highly likely to win at least one lottery, and a maximum subscription amount of 16.72 million RMB could win 15 lotteries. This "sunshine" new stock subscription opportunity is relatively rare in the history of the STAR Market, with retail investors' lottery winning probability significantly higher than any other popular IPO in recent years.
However, it is essential to note that the current data are all brokerage forecast values, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange will officially announce the lottery winning rate after the market close on July 17th. In terms of key timing, the lottery numbers will be announced on July 20th. Users must have sufficient funds in their accounts to complete the payment by 4 p.m. on the same day. The payment amount corresponding to 500 shares per lottery is 4,330 RMB. Institutions estimate that the profit range for a single lottery winner is between 3,000 RMB and 26,000 RMB.
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